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Bernd Michalski

@Bernd-M | Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany
Member since December 07, 2019
Born in the Ruhr Region of western Germany, where once "beautiful coal" was mined and steel cooked. Studied theology, worked as a journalist incl. on radio, political staffer of an MP, PR-guy and speech writer for some state secretaries (traffic/transportation, economy), moved on to be an expert in traffic (mobility) politics at the state government level. Also I do gardening, photography, am a serious music lover (active & passive), happen to be gay btw. & love MAGA country.
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THANKS, PRAGER U

Watch a down-to-earth, competent black sheriff completely dismantle the leftist narrative of
BLACK LIES MATTER (not a typo!).
Truth can be so simple and so overwhelming.

And then, touching on another try by CNN to distort public discourse in favor of the marxist left, have Steven Crowder explain how their poll supposedly showing that the president has hardly a chance of winning against Uncle what'shisname is fabricated propaganda.
Bonus: Steven and his team are wearing really funny clothes, and still it is orders of magnitude more serious than Don Lemon and all the rest of them.

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"The software for society-wide contact tracing in the USA, Great Britain and possibly in other European countries is provided by the CIA-related technology company Palantir of US billionaire Peter Thiel. "

(A quote I found at this site, recommended by @joseph_ratliff: https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/)

@DaveRubin, it might be worthwhile to talk with Peter about this. I don't presume he is eager to put mass social surveillance in place, yet these things are of a complex nature and should be discussed in some detail.

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BRILLIANT
BRILLIANT
BRILLIANT

I will sign each and every word she is speaking here.

(She must be a racist bigot. Because everything she argues is pure truth.)

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My favorite two conservative commentators, possibly, commenting on the current "french revolution style" events:
Eric Metaxas, brilliant radio talker from NYC, and Victor Davis Hanson, eminent historian and strategist from his legacy CA almond farm.
Not so perfect technically, but boy, do they make up for that with insight and clear thinking.
We're in a truly historical moment right now, stakes are mountain high. These two guys can give us orientation like few others can.

(Please, dear god, make Jordan Peterson reappear on the scene, in addition.)

Just do yourself the favor.

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Dave Rubin's post about HBO cancelling "Gone with the wind" before my eyes, I thought of the song with that title, sung by the unsurpassable Lady Ella Fitzgerald, who of course happens to be a black woman from times long ago, which in turn made me think of the whole bunch of entertainers, artists, musicians of the same "race".
Like Sammy Davis jr., who really got himself in trouble just by having a dark skin, and who was stubbornly supported and cherished by Frank Sinatra.
Like Louis Armstrong, like Miles Davis, like Milt Jackson, like … of course, I could go on and on and on.
They made it, each one in their own way. In the (supposedly) racist America.
And that's partly dozens of years before the black guys Dave Rubin mentions in his book, who have come out of pure plight and made it even bigger, like Oprah or some Rapper I don't care about.

One might presume that today's black communities would look up to those role models and take them as unmistakable hint that perseverance and some talent can make the American Dream come true for them, too.
Obviously, not everyone can become a famous performing artist. Some might "only" become a blue collar guy or a teacher or a sales clerk.

Even so, how can the left cling to a narrative – about white supremacists not having black people rise on the societal ladder – that is so obviously out of touch not only with reality today, but has been for such a long time? More than half a century?
Why don't they try and empower black people, one person at a time? Why must they force them into collective victimhood, which in effect looks to me like a kind of self-fulfilling prophecy.

To come full circle: How could one Ella Fitzgerald make it, or Duke Ellington, or Count Basie, when racism in their day was still strong and indeed partly institutionalized? And how in the world can today's black communities not take those examples, and I'm sure there are many in other sectors, like in sports, when they have it so much easier, objectively?
Am I misled in thinking that the easier the black people objectively have it, the more support they are receiving, the louder the leftist demagogues are whining and the more forceful they stage their protests?

Yes, I'm aware my thoughts are far from original, yet they strike me as somehow showing the full absurdity of what we are witnessing.

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So now we have reached a point at which in quite some areas of the country it looks like civil war, 2020 edition. The leftist thugs have actually used guns and murdered people and intended even more.
There, I have written it, in all its complete absurdity, as a matter of fact.
One might say: The Dems and the MSM, but I repeat myself, have what they wished for.

Where might things go from here?
Should it not be obvious for every decent person on the ground that this cannot be the modus operandi of American politics?

  • What if the "progressives", these criminal lunatics, keep going this path, for months? Is that even possible? How could that not lead to a large majority for the Republicans in November? Because this will bring out each and every decent person to the polling booth, even the usually politics-averse.
  • What if the flood of violence and hysteria goes back significantly, because how could it sustain itself for more than some weeks? But then should at some point some reflection set in, leading to a sense in the wider public that the left have really shown their ugly face and gone way too far – because that's what the left always do, they just cannot refrain.

It is still another 5 months until election day. A long time, in politics.
Yes, the country is divided.

  • There are the red states with economic upswing and good livelihoods and peaceful communities, at least mostly and overwhelmingly.
  • And there are the blue states, a mixture of totalitarian oppression of decent people and open upheaval of violent, ugly activist types.

How could the choice for all moderate people not be perfectly clear with such circumstances? How could anyone who is not completely ideologically aligned with the left not reject this denial of western civilization in the name of supposed anti-racism?

You see, I can hardly imagine how – beyond a first rush of enthusiasm for the "good cause" – a majority of the people could really support the left and make the current dystopian trend the chosen path for America. And why then would we be speaking about a trend of decent people leaving places like CA and NYC?

But the craziest point of all is that while the activist left are tearing the country apart and destroy whatever civilization has built up, they still say it is the president who supposedly divides the country, instead of uniting it.
And those who like Biden support the lunacy, style themselves into bridge builders seeking harmony and a good living for everyone.
This is so upside down, I cannot wrap my head around this perverse way of "thinking".

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The blue collar guys are nailing it perfectly, once again.

  • Dave has some footage showing the utmost absurdity of the riots and looting and how it demolishes the livelihood of perfectly decent minority (!) citizens – and tells the people in places like CA to think again about their party affiliation.
  • Jason deals with crime statistics and shows how completely deranged the notion of systemic racism by the police at large is, strictly based on factual numbers.

Absolutely worth watching and sharing.
It's amazing, these are just two normal guys who like to think for themselves. Between the two of them, they offer more wisdom than all of MSNBC&CNN.

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Hey RR friends,
continuing my series of Nov election ads or "memes", I tried something about the current mess. Of course, it's a complex matter, so my result is a bit crammed. Admitted!
Hope you find it up to the task anyway.

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Some special weekend treat, just to remind everybody that peace and beauty are still around, in case you wondered.
(Doesn't mean though I'm not deeply angry about the dangerous, deluded, despotic left.)
All from my garden, lately.

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We should not allow the mob to completely dictate the news agenda. There is more to watch and deal with.
This is Senator Ted Cruz, and in classical YT title manner I would call the piece "DESTROYS former dep. AG Rosenstein".

The fact is: What happened under Obama's direction in terms of abusing power and having the deep state clowns attempt a coup against a duly elected president is
MUCH WORSE than what NIXON did.

Doesn't need much time or complicated thinking to come to this conclusion. It's plain to see for everybody with a brain.
You do have to be willing to notice though.

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Mark the date: President Trump publicly announced strong and decisive action against the "Antifa" mob: Mai 31 = Sunday
Whereas Tucker Carlson blamed the president for supposedly NOT taking action on June 1 = Monday

RR friends,
I am obviously a fan of Tucker and find it often amazingly clear-sighted how he understands and describes the current political situation.
In this single case though, he has pushed his interpretation a bit too far.
He is clearly right in denouncing most of politicians for being cowardly towards the raging mobs. But saying the president did not respond properly during the weekend is just wrong.
Within his speech at Cape Canaveral on Sunday (2nd video further down), the president devoted about 10 minutes at the very beginning to the criminal pseudo protesters and how to deal with them.
Just watch it for yourself, I'm not doing interpretation gymnastics here. Starting point for this issue is at 11'20.
More specifically, he talks about actual law enforcement action starting at 17'.
At this point, he is not openly pushing state and local governors aside, rather tries pulling them into coordinated action, supported by the federal government. Which I find perfectly appropriate in terms of federalist, constitutional thinking.

The whole speech is imho near perfect. Indeed, the president is still not a brilliant reader from the teleprompter, but what he says does absolutely nail it.

So I understand why Tucker is angry and his stance is mostly right. Still he should not lightly blame the president for supposedly not doing stuff he actually did, as is plain to see and hear with the video.
@DaveRubin, I guess it won't be long before you're on Tucker's channel again. Maybe there'll be an opportunity to put things right.

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Tony Heller, who since years has been exposing the pseudo "climate science" mafia and their hilarious wrongdoings in terms of fraudulent data manipulation, has lately also commented on the China virus experience.
What he is saying is very much informed by a deep understanding of the hypocritical, power-hungry left.
Here he's once more really nailing it.

@DaveRubin, he would absolutely make for a most interesting guest on the show. Please consider him!
On a side note, he has moved from Colorado to Wyoming and left those silly Democrat rulers behind him. Another point you could talk about.

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Senator Ted Cruz calling out the unbelievable hypocrisy of the T folks, led by their supreme Jackass.
He really nails it. Short, but brilliant. I consider the man a free speech hero.

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Watching birds at a pond in the mid of a nice park can be so relaxing and peaceful. It‘s beautiful warm, sunny weather, too.
Could sit here endlessly...

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I guess some of you have by now watched the scene in the oval office yesterday, before the president signed the ExOrder against the platform wrongdoings.

What I found especially remarkable is something AG Barr said:
The Social Media Giants have become big by telling the people "This is free for everybody, come join us, we love diversity" etc.
Now they ARE big and control the communication market, and all of a sudden they have made up their minds, as it were, and some of the diversity is actually not welcome and gets eradicated.
Barr called it "bait and switch", and that's exactly what happened.

It's a kind of fraud, and a big one, imho. Had they not taken the path of inclusivity first, acting just as a neutral forum, not a publishing business, and had they not taken advantage of the quasi immunity with regards to improper content, they could have never become so big in the first place.
That's why it would be wrong to now let them off the hook, saying "Gee, OK, so then you will be treated as a publisher now."

WRONG move. They have to be held accountable and to stay in line as a public forum for everybody, free speech included.

Also, related: All of you who are so terribly afraid of government overreach – please tell me who then is supposed to somehow control those giant international entities that mold the world according to their evil thinking.
Oh, I see. Nobody is supposed to control them. Because, somehow, things will get sorted out, right?
Please. Do come up with a better plan. Any plan. At all.

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Dear libertarian leaning folks around this place,
I DO understand the anti-big-government approach.

Only you are missing something central when it comes to Big Tech Censoring.
The government is supposed to be strong, when it comes to protecting people's basic rights.

Small government only towards issues that are apart from that.

I guess we all agree that free speech is one of the most central or even THE most central human right that the government MUST protect. And the evil T platform and its companions do effectively undermine this right not just somewhat.
They seek to practically take this right from those who don't think and speak their way.

This is exactly why your otherwise correct leaning against big government action is actually misplaced with this issue the president has taken upon him to deal with.
Without free speech, there is no chance to actually negotiate in the public sphere how any issue should be dealt with.
As always, the left are seeking to win by re-defining the rules and assuming the role of arbiter at the same time. That's the level on which this thing plays out.

That's why, again, government is not only justified, but really obliged to take strong action.

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Regarding Trump and the evil T platform

Thank God and thank the good people of America for fighting Hitler and his evil forces and rescuing Germany, my country.
Evil power had to be brought down by supreme power.

OK, the analogy might seem a bit harsh. BUT maybe it's not:

Today's political battle in America and all over our western countries is about free speech.
And I'm using this term in the understanding that is rightly promoted by our beloved Jordan Peterson: Only with free speech you can think freely. Only then you can properly develop thoughts, concepts, ideas. Only then you can better what there is currently around you, from your personal life to society at large. (I'm obviously paraphrasing.)

Now the evil platforms that have become the backbone of our public life even on a local level, but definitely on a state and national level, start to censor the discourse ever more shamelessly.
I'll concede that they are not only doing this out of pure whim and political leaning, but they are pushed to do it by a lot of governments, too, as is the sad case in my Germany.

Now the stakes are raising every day, with the general US election not even 6 months away.

President Trump just has to take them on. He has to fight for free speech.
Now let's for a moment think about what would happen if the regional electricity provider stopped delivering to "the bigoted alt-right". Well, they are a free enterprise, right?
Of course not. They are a natural monopoly.

The evil platforms are not quite as strictly natural monopolies, but the difference is not that big, actually. That's why it is absolutely justified to use regulation, and strongly.
They have gone to far. Again. And again. And again.
How many times should we, the tolerant and truly liberal people in the western world, just let them have their way?
It's high time to strip them of their unearned political power.

That's what they have: political power, and they implement it in evil ways. They undermine our democracies.
What more justification do you need to support the president against them?

And yes, OF COURSE I love what Dave and his team have done with this here, but come on guys, keep real. This is not making the big evil T and its companions less dangerous any time soon.
But I'll stand corrected as soon as some ten thousand people give a "like" to one of Dave's next posts in this beautiful community.

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Short time ago I referenced @DaveRubin 's book club talk with Andrew Klavan, suggesting that American Politics is by now about all other political tendencies defending the country and the constitution against the radical left.
Figured it might be worth creating a graphical representation.
I guess, some would call this a meme? Hope you like it.

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https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/why-do-some-covid-19-patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread-virus-all

Hey folks,
in addition to my post yesterday about how the CCP virus is spread by different segments of the population very differently, leading to herd immunity probably even before or right about when lockdown measures get implemented in a lot of places;
here's another article about the phenomenon, focusing on superspreading events and clusters, like with some forms of social gatherings or locations such as meat packing plants.

Highly interesting! Also makes plausible suggestions that e.g. loud shouting and singing support the virus transmissions.

AND:
transmission is FAR more likely to happen inside vs out in the open.
CC blue state governors

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Here's blue collar guy Dave Morrison explaining why CA doesn't necessarily have to be / to keep being a blue state.
In the end he seems to lose a bit of momentum. Guess he doesn't want to appear too credulous.

What do you guys think? The current "blue politicians don't trust their citizens" crisis might force the Democrats to really fight hard in order to keep the state in the Nov elections.
It shouldn't be a foregone conclusion, IMHO.

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I believe this is quite huge. Based on a recent, utterly convincing research paper it seems highly likely that “herd immunity” against the CCP virus can be triggered with not even 20% of the population having been infected.

Also, it may well be the case, that countries like the US are by now well underway to having enough herd immunity to contain the virus WITHOUT continued lockdown.

Meaning that the strangulation of societies in blue states is by now without medical merits whatsoever, even without considering the economic and human damage being caused by the lockdowns.

»»» This is a big supporting point for the president’s strategy and it may be a political game changer in its own right.


Those were my summarizing points, and here comes the explanation, which is necessarily a bit longer – but it’s not rocket science, so please make yourself familiar with it. The central points of argument are evident to common sense.

I don’t need to start by telling you how absurdly wrong a lot of predictions as well as prescriptions were that came out of “science” with regards to how the CCP virus would impact societies and why a “lockdown” would be the right thing to do.

Some discussions have been had about the “herd immunity” strategy, which would have meant basically leaving the virus alone, let it make its way through society so that at some point it won’t find enough people to prey upon to prolong its existence.
But it has been “modeled” by the likes of the by now infamous London Imperial College that almost 60% of the population would have to be infected before the infection would even start dwindling down and that in the end almost 9 out of 10 people would have endured the infection. Goes without saying, that this wasn’t acceptable for political leaders like the president.

A week ago, co-member @Joseph_Ratliff posted a link to a new study about this topic, by independent researcher (and climate science skeptic) Nicholas Lewis. (Thank you Joseph! And just shows how great this community works.)

Lewis explains why in his estimation the modeling from London and its findings have been utterly misleading, namely not least because they deducted the basic reproductivity rate of the virus from the early infection curve and simulated further developments by assuming that each citizen in the population will be susceptible and spread the disease further according to that rate, which was defined as being 2.4: each infected person would in turn infect 2.4 other persons.

But this concept, this simplified modeling assumption is just plain wrong and misleading. Because in reality, not all people act the same and under similar circumstances. A nerd in his basement has an extremely low probability to get infected and will in turn infect nobody else even if infected himself. A nurse in the hospital on the other hand faces an extremely high probability to get infected (without complete protective equipment all the time) and might spread the virus to a lot of people after having caught it herself, be it at the workplace, with friends or family.

Now you might still ask: but why does it make a difference whether a model simulates reality with a numerically correct average reproduction rate, as opposed to different people with different probabilities?
Here’s why, and I will keep it simple and assume there is just one decisive factor determining how much an individual person will (unwillingly and unknowingly) do to spread the virus: the amount to which the person is socially interacting. We’ll assume lonely people without much contact to others will do little to spread the virus, whereas people with lots of social interaction will spread the virus massively.
(Reality is of course a little more complex than this, but for the sake of argument here we may leave that aside.)

Let’s make things even simpler and assume, there are two kinds of people in society:

  • “normal people”, who don’t have that much social interaction and – when infected themselves – will only infect at most one other person, producing an individual reproduction rate of 1 or even below.
  • “super spreaders”, who have an awful lot of social interaction and will therefor on average infect 10 other people once infected themselves.

This is not that far from statistical reality, because it is known that there are indeed super spreaders, without whom such a virus wouldn’t have such a head start; only about 10% of the population do actually cause 80% of the spreading.
And now comes the central point on which all of the following, grave consequences are hinging:
Those who may spread the virus so big time, because they have so many (and/or so intense) social interactions, are at the same time necessarily much more likely to catch the virus in the first place.
So if we presume that a super spreader is ten times as likely to get infected as a “normal” person (as defined above), we can also say that the super spreaders will get infected EARLIER than the rest, on average.

Think about your likelihood of getting wet by walking outside during sudden rainfall. If you are ten times as often outside, compared to other people, you will get soaked ten times as fast – again, on average.
Therefor we can safely assume that super spreaders will be part of the virus contagion curve early on and in a vastly disproportional manner. And, just as important, their contribution will necessarily dwindle down over the course of the contagion throughout society, because it is assumed as a medical fact that once you had the disease you are immune against it.
(It’s like after you got wet from sudden rainfall for the first time, you will take an umbrella with you all the time, so it will never again happen to you.)

Now, stating that the percentage of infections spread by super spreaders will dwindle down over time is no different from stating that the reproduction rate of the virus will go down. Because it will be more and more just “normal” people who have not yet been infected, so the reproduction rate will get ever closer to 1 as related to newly infected. But with more of the society getting immune over time, the reproduction rate on the society level will drop below 1 and the virus will peter out.

OK, the principle is explained and understood. What is still to be done is proper, mathematically correct reckoning. Nicholas Lewis did just that and his results are almost breathtaking. Because

  • now the super spreaders, only in the early stages of virus spread are they able to push the reproduction rate as high as 2.4; over time it diminishes rather quickly and
  • the point at which the infection starts dwindling down is reached already with 10 or 20% of society being infected.
  • Consequentially, maybe just a third of the people will get in contact with the virus at all before it is practically meaningless.

This makes it perfectly possible to concentrate cautionary measures on the vulnerable, older people. If they are taken “out of the game” of infection, as it were, until the virus has spread through a third of the people, they will be fine, just as everybody else.

This means:

  • the strategy of herd immunity, as followed in Sweden, is indeed a practical one and politically fully implementable. And, which is even more exciting,
  • countries like the US may in fact be headed to the point of the virus dwindling down already:
  • The infection-fatality-rate, as determined by different studies of late, may absolutely lie somewhere between 1 and 3 out of thousand. So with (nearly) a hundred thousand deaths due to the CCP virus, it can be presumed that between 30 and 100 million people in the US already had the virus and are immune.
  • This would be roughly between 10 and 30% of the population, and this would mean that herd immunity has already kicked in or will do so in short term.

This finding and the laid-out argument before would fit perfectly to a lot of experts saying by now that when the lockdown was put in place, the roughest and really dangerous period of spreading the virus was already a thing of the past.
It also fits perfectly to the observation, that the states opening most bravely right now don’t actually experience any spikes in terms of infection numbers rising again.
And it also fits the observation that those people who are living in quasi quarantine with their families are at least as much infected by the virus as e.g. those who as “essential workers” have been out and active: they are mostly “normal” people with a reproductivity rate of just 1 or below that, meaning practically that they are infecting only those with whom they have the most intensive contact anyway, regardless of lockdown, and that would be their loved ones, their partners, their immediate family members.

Conclusion: Yes, the lockdown might have been unnecessary almost from the start. But AT the start, we couldn’t just assume such, and the political decisions in favor of caution were not just false, if we are fair about it.
Also YES,

  • the lockdown must be abandoned now, and quite bravely and in a determined manner.
  • Yes, we should do extensive testing, just to be safe.
  • Yes, we have to still safeguard the vulnerable. And
  • yes, we should avoid “super spreading events” for still some time, e.g. big parties or sporting events with large crowds.

All of which is exactly what the president is doing and suggesting as a strategy.

The research paper my article is based upon:
https://www.nicholaslewis.org/why-herd-immunity-to-covid-19-is-reached-much-earlier-than-thought/
The original post by @Joseph_Ratliff:
https://rubinreport.com/post/56530/why-herd-immunity-to-covid-19-is-reached-much-earlier-than-thought-by-nic-lewis-pdf-https-w

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Just a short thought on political strategy facing the Nov elections:
When I heard you, @DaveRubin and the Klavan (we gotta save him at all costs, btw!) talk about the political landscape, discerning between the regressive left on one hand and on the other conservatives, classical liberals and libertarians,
it occurred to me that it comes down to this:
American Patriots vs. the unpatriotic left.
or even
… vs. the anti-American left

When American Patriotism is about

  • freedom, individualism and responsibility for your own life,
  • also a sense of community, belonging and (judaeo-christian) love for thy neighbor
  • and god-given rights and the government respecting them

… then this is almost a perfect common denominator for all sensible, sane people NOT on the radical left.
So this might be a central theme for the campaign.
Elect leaders standing for America: Presidency, House, Senate.

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As I said the other day, tulips were definitely outgoing, but roses are by now definitely on their way to a months-long extravaganza in my garden.
I'm so sorry I can't upload the smell, it's beguiling. Guess you'll have to take my word for it.

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And another portion of Tucker Carlson analysis.

About power hungry leftist politicians, focusing on sick minded LA mayor Garcetti.
Tucker is most impressive with his very calm, very deliberate tone and description what exactly is going on right now, incredible as the situation appears.
A call to action for every sane LA citizen to "recall" this guy out of office for his blatant abuse of power.

I can't really imagine living in such circumstances and not get revolutionary in some way.

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Another portion of Dennis Prager's wisdom.
This time he calls the leftist lockdown fanatics out for their foolish disconnect with the real world, in terms of causing millions of deaths around the world while they are claiming moral superiority.

And if you don't yet know Dennis Prager, don't put yourself on the wrong track. Yes, he appears to be just a nice old man. He's not ever yelling at anyone. But boy, does he project a sharp mind and clear thinking.

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In case you missed it:
Here's Tucker Carlson with a brilliant rant on the left's fanatism in terms of never-ending lockdowns, police-state surveillance etc.
Really worth watching.

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The french medical scientist who can confirm the efficacy of Hydroxy-Chloroquin etc., on the basis of thousands of cases and only very few lethal ones.
He wonders whether infected and ill people in richer countries might suffer unduly because their health systems have a penchant for new and expensive drugs, as opposed to longstanding and cheap medicines like Hydroxy sure is.

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Maybe some of you have already seen this. If I'm not mistaken, this is more or less what prompted the CA dictatorship to close down massively on the beaches, because people were supposedly causing doom by virus transmission on the sand.

Just watch these few minutes and tell me at which point it looks dangerous to you. Because that is definitely not my impression.

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I just love these beeches and their foliage when the sun has their special colors pop out

btw I love beaches, too. But that's an entirely different matter.

[Sorry, I couldn't resist. Sometimes silly takes over 😎 ]

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Very refreshing short comment on the California lockdown nonsense and how folks might deal best with it.
HIGHLY recommended!

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I'll just assume they don't need big explanation, right?

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I really ought to send Dennis Prager a box of cigars, sometime.

If you have not yet seen his latest "fireside chat" from his home, you might do yourself the favor and listen to it now.
Dennis Prager is talking about his argument against the lockdown of all of society and making fundamental points about freedom.

All in his typical, adorable, thoughtful and nice-mannered way, yet profound and principled. The man is outstanding.

btw you don't have to watch it on the YT.
PraguerU has brought about their own APP, e.g. for Apple TV. You can watch all of their content there, including Candace Owens' shows. Much better streaming quality, makes a real difference.

@DaveRubin @TheRubinReport HINT – HINT – HINT 😎

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https://music.apple.com/us/album/georges-pr%C3%AAtre-last-concert-at-la-scala-live-in-milan/1490903174

Maurice Ravel's "Boléro" is one of the most famous pieces of classical music ever. I have heard it dozens of times from different artists.
Now today I listened to this performance from the Milano philharmonic orchestra "della Scala" (meaning the famous opera house), led by the late great conductor Georges Prêtre.
I had experienced the man once live in Berlin, so I knew he was indeed a magician on stage.

Yet I was blown away by this recording from his last concert in Milano. He had surprising, beautiful twists playing that I would never had expected in this piece. Over the good quarter of an hour that this piece lasts, I got viscerally excited like seldom when listening to music.
(One more proof how Dr Peterson is right, when he talks about the exclusive meaning that music has for human beings.)

The whole 45-minute-album is brilliant. Deutsche Grammophon have made this recording in stunning audiophile quality.
You can hear the excitement of the Italian audience, too. In the end, they seem to bring the house down. And that's perfectly understandable.

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Fresh from my own garden

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Saw this the other day and found it well worth watching.

First time ever a high ranking member of the WH has issued a direct address to the Chinese people, in fluent Mandarin and with vast insight into their history and culture.

Jan Jekielek from the Epoch Times and this serious expert (also with a former WH background) discuss the strategic situation about China in some detail, and it makes the power of the CCP look much more fragile than most of the world seem to consider it.
This talk provides a lot of background and sober, highly informed judgment.

Not least the propaganda item about the Chinese people supposedly being fundamentally different from us westerners and somehow in need of a "strong hand" leading them, gets taken apart. Looks like modern history tells the story much different.

Again, the insights are absolutely worth the time spent.

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@theRubinReport

Folks, only now have I noticed that on the profile pages not only posts and comments are represented and can be checked, but now replies, too.

GREAT!

Thanks a lot, once again, for your dedication. It is appreciated!

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Yes, I know, it's from Tuesday, but I saw it only yesterday and that doesn't matter anyway because it is not about the news items.

Just watch the president.

  • He has the complete situation there with the media people under control.
  • He has precise answers to all questions.
  • He's quick.
  • He is absolutely energetic.
  • Also, he stands upright with his shoulders back. With all of his stately stature.

Now compare that to the old man in his basement merely mumbling incoherent half sentences and his face a half-dead facade behind which chaos is rising. And I mean that just matter-of-factly.

It is inconceivable to me how between the two men, assumed Biden will be officially nominated, any citizen (not yet having made up their mind finally) could really go for the Democrats.

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Saw Steven Crowder talk with Don Jr., and liked it a lot.
Don Jr. is fun, and quick, and authentic and doesn't care whatsoever about public decorum in the face of silly MSM.

He also elaborates about how he keeps asking himself why he didn't have General Flynn's back much earlier, considering he had a similar ordeal going against him, with corrupt law enforcement and media campaigns all over the place.

Makes one start thinking about dynasties. 😎

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The left has no interest in playing a fair game.
Like a "good sport" would.

What they do is

  • always re-defining the rules to their advantage.
  • (And moving the goal post around)
  • And also assuming the role of the referee, just to be safe.

>
Now Donald Trump has understood that long ago.
What HE does is he just doesn't play by THEIR rules.
And HE is his own referee, mostly.

No wonder they hate him that much.
To their utter surprise, an awful lot of people are sick and tired of the left's presumptuous bullying since long and applaud Trump for standing up against it.

So how do the left take it? Learn? Adapt?
No way. Their answer is a giant, three-and-a-half year temper tantrum.

(Just trying to suggest a framing. Plausible?)

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Did you see the president in the Fox "town hall" event, filmed on location in the Lincoln Memorial?

It was all about opening up America again and how to further deal with the CCP virus.
The president was very firm, almost precise – on HIS scale 😎 – and made some bold predictions, e.g. that by the end of this year there will be a vaccine. And of course that the economy will go rapidly up in the 4th quarter etc.; also

  • he seems confident to get a pay roll tax relief through, because he sees bipartisan support for it.
  • But strictly NO to bailing out failed blue states.
  • He wants schools etc to open soon,
  • he hopes for big rallies towards the general election.
  • He does have a way of cheerleading the country towards people getting their lives and livelihoods back. Also clearly supports the protesters.

I don't see how the Dem's push for staying endlessly in totalitarian quarantine could possibly convince a majority.

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Head officials of the UN ally themselves with communist China.
"Climate action" as a way of defeating the free market countries.

Not really new or surprising, yet we have to keep putting more focus and attention on these issues, as they are being outlined here by Mahyar Tousi, british (pro-brexit) excellent journalist/commentator in the first minutes of this videopodcast.

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Time for tulips is practically over now – so it's time to say goodbye, I guess. (No need to be sad, though. Roses are quite on their way already!)

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Something lighthearted in between: Did you know these guys?
😷🤒🤕
My Gosh, emoji land is really up to date! 😎

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Saw this yesterday evening.
Don't you watch this just before bedtime.
Because it is dealing with and showing stuff that has to be called
disturbing | frightening | disgustingly brutal and evil

It is about the WAR, that the communist tyrants in China are waging against the west, freedom and democracy.

These days, it becomes clearer every day that we all (or at least most of us) have been living in a kind of illusionary daydream in which China somehow converts to western lifestyle and can be dealt with on civilized terms.

We are now in a cold to lukewarm war with them. Not with the people, mind you, with the communist party or rather their leading functionaries who don't care about lives, neither ours nor those of their own people.

Remember, the most evil force in modern times are neither the German Nazis nor the Russian Stalinists, but the Chinese Maoists. Their utter immorality and brutality have been disguised for years by shining cities and modern high risers, but now the mask has been finally let down.

The single most important factor standing between our western life and pure communist evil at this point is president Trump.
We need him to stay in office, desperately, and were it even for this one point alone: to fend off the Chinese threat to our civilization.

The Dems and the MSM … rather the other way round, because at this point the MSM tell the Dems where to go … anyway, they side with the Chinese Communists and call Trump racist for speaking the obvious truth about how they effectively forced our economies down and caused tens of thousands of deaths.

This is a wake up call, and that's why I urge you to watch this video. Hong Kong is the central issue, and it shows what we have to expect from the Communist tyrants. The brave people of Hong Kong fight for their lives, risking being brutally murdered in the process.
To have their back is our moral duty, I believe. Just as the West, led by America, has fought Russian Imperialism back when they sought to gulp all of Berlin and incorporate it into their realm.

Then, Berlin Mayor Ernst Reuter called for help in a historic speech with his famous words: "Peoples of the world, watch this town."
That was 1948, West Berlin was saved and Russia was kept at bay.

It is high time the West watches what happens with Hong Kong and fights back the Communist tyranny.

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Hope our dutch friends here won't mind …
Greetings from my own garden!

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Nice interview by Steven Crowder with congressman Dan Crenshaw.
Steven has a way of combining silly-hilarious humor with real insight. Smart guy. Starts at 56 minutes in.

Completely unrelated: Scott Bradlee and Tony DeSare, both of them very accomplished (jazzy) musicians, parading through the history of popular piano playing. Beware of how they do it in one uncut, authentic take. That's completely contrary to what we are used to see as music videos and it's a courageous thing to do.
Hooray for these outstanding pros. (Go into the post in order to get this 2nd vid.)

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Sorry @DaveRubin and team, but I have to come back to the pre-order technical stuff.
I have duly acquired your book on the i-book store with Apple, and there you can see the screen shot showing the pre-order is notified. But other than that, I have no order number or whatever to prove it.

And still I do want to watch THE video.
So maybe you can mail me the link.
Also, am I really the only one who orders via i-book store?

Thanks. I'm looking forward to reading and watching.

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https://www.dailywire.com/news/white-house-slams-media-for-taking-trump-out-of-context-on-disinfectant-comments

So the president recommended injecting disinfectant into human bodies, as a CCP virus treatment.
Yeah. Absolutely.
And when I saw this piece of brave journalism on our German MSM this morning, it felt completely natural. Because, you know, this Donald Trump guy is so breathtakingly stupid.
Thank the Lord the media don't let him have it.

So this is probably what the media meant to convey to me and what they wanted me to think about it. My gosh. It becomes even more fantastic each and every day, what they keep producing. Are they all sick in their heads or what kind of phenomenon is this? Can they really be so deluded? So superficial?

I'm quoting the DW here with the transcript:
Then Trump said this: “And then I see the disinfectant where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that by injection inside or, or almost a cleaning?

So he said, I repeat: "Is there a way we can do something like that by injection inside … almost a cleaning?"
So he was impressed how disinfectant apparently kills the CCP virus in no time flat, and he imagined or wondered whether there is a way to have a similar effect inside the human body. That is why he said "something like that".

If he would have thought what the MSM tell us he did say, though he didn't, he would have just said:
"So why can't we just inject the disinfectant into the body?"
As a question to the experts. And even then it would have been a question. Maybe a fairly dumb one, but still a question.

So the MSM and the other leftist morons are clearly completely incapable of properly listening and understanding what people say. That's probably because they don't even care to understand what the president actually articulates, they are just looking for any old far-fetched opportunity to smear him.
It's about time someone goes and injects something into them so as to make them responsible and decent again. I wouldn't bet on it though that a vaccine like that will ever be available. What a shame.

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Just in case you have some more time to spare: Highly recommendable is this talk between christian talkshow host Eric Metaxas and historian Victor Davis Hansen.

Two brilliant, outspoken conservative minds and a very insightful conversation about

  • the president's chances in the general election,
  • the political situation in America at large,
  • the Chinese threat …

And again, @DaveRubin, just to prove once more how worthy a guest VDH would be on your show. And by the way, Eric Metaxas in his own right, too.

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You all know, the president quite strongly recommended Hydroxy-Chloroquine for CCP-Virus-diseased.
Which drove the left and the MSM, but I'm repeating myself, crazy from the start. The other day some "journalist" confronted the president in the press conference and pointed at a "study" that supposedly showed the drug was not only not helpful, but indeed even increasing mortality.
That sounded fishy to me the moment it was spoken, because a number of trustworthy medical pros have by now accumulated quite some evidence in favor of the drug, especially when administered before a patient has to be hospitalized and intubated.

Laura Ingraham has now dealt with the issue and how she explains, analyzes and asks questions is really brilliant. She obviously has opinions, but this is actual journalism.
The left MSM are obsessed with proving Trump wrong, but every time it is just superficial, cheap propaganda of the worst kind.

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I just love copper beeches. Their leaves have such a brilliant, beautiful color, especially with bright sunlight shining through them.
These pictures are from last week, another bike trip to a nice town 15 km away. Also watch out for the beautiful flowering cherry tree beneath.

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The title of this fine old song couldn't suit the current situation better: Don't get around much anymore

Listen to Scott Bradlee with his trademark traditional jazz style, strong stride piano feelings included, and an utterly personal timing. (He does all other styles as well, but I believe this one is really closest to his heart.)

Light, charming, energetic – enjoy the short musical break!

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How about this lovely old farmhouse near to my home-town of Bochum, situated in the Ruhr valley in the South of the town…

Another 2 photos in the thread!

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Another thoughtful and highly recommended article I found today in a German outlet, arguing against general lockdown and in favor of an entirely different approach to dealing with very old people.

Article dating from April 15, 2020:
https://www.achgut.com/artikel/bericht_zur_coronalage_15.4.2020
“Achgut” is a (actually one of two) leading independent online media outlet in Germany, published and edited by well-known (originally) print media journalists such as Henryk M. Broder and Dirk Maxeiner. (“Achgut” is abbreviated from “Achse des Guten” = “Axis of Good”, which references of course the “Axis of Evil” as defined by former US President George W. Bush.)
All of the following text has been translated from German via the Microsoft Office Translator tool and only marginally edited subsequently where that translation had failed. Passages in square brackets […] are added by me for elucidation purposes (@Bernd-M).

Author Dr. med. Gunter Frank, born 1963 in Buchen (Odenwald), is a general practitioner in Heidelberg and a lecturer at the Business School St. Gallen. He is the author of several successful books such as: Corporate Resource Health, License to Eat, The Mañana Competence, Bad Medicine or, most recently, Carrots Love Butter. He is involved in specialist societies and in journalism for a medicine that does not lose sight of the essentials, apart from ideologies and abuse of science, namely the relevant benefits for the patient.

[Alternative to lockdown and ICU abuse]
As the expected, extensive collateral damage of the shutdown becomes increasingly clear, I would like to focus in this article on the medical core of the current crisis, the therapy of those severely affected by viral pneumonia with and without positive corona test. All previous measures are primarily aimed at preventing the overload of the intensive care units by these diseased persons. Two strategies have been implemented: firstly, an attempt was made to block contagion routes in the shot-shot procedure (shutdown).
As has been substantiated here multiple times, this choice is certainly the wrong choice over a precise focus on the risk group, due to collateral damage. Secondly, an attempt was made to free up, maintain and expand the intensive care beds available as quickly as possible. That sounds reasonable. But if you take a closer look, this strategy puts medicine in an ethical dilemma because it overrides the self-determination of an old, seriously ill person about the way in which fate is supposed to end his life. There would be a more ethical way to use the intensive care beds much more sensibly, even in the times of Corona. However, this requires the integration of the appropriate specialist expertise and a high degree of responsible ethical discipline of the decision-makers.
Since Corona, many experienced medical experts from universities and practices have networked in a wonderful way, at a speed I have never experienced before. Everyone is united in their view that the measures adopted are completely excessive and dangerous for a number of reasons. I have had many conversations over the last few weeks with very excellent colleagues from immunology, pathology, internal medicine, epidemiology, pneumology and many more. They are institute leaders, practitioners, active in specialist societies, often leading personalities in their field.
They all shake their heads at how it could happen to make such massively intrusive decisions without first having a comprehensive expertise of independent (!) experts. The term »virologist cartel« also fell. Of course, science always means dispute and not homogeneous, unitary opinion. It is precisely from this high-quality dispute, and only from this, that the best solutions crystallize. However, we must be able to moderate such a constructive dispute. But the federal government chose the worst option imaginable and relied on the advice of "professionals" who have already stood out in a similar situation with a completely wrong risk assessment.
Or a recent example: How could the RKI [Robert-Koch-Institut] seriously advise not to perform obductions because of the risk of infection for pathologists. That's utterly absurd. Pathologists are experts on how to protect yourself from an infectious corpse. The obductions were carried out anyway, because we also have real professionals. The RKI has since been forced to withdraw this recommendation through technical opinions. However, the autopsy results do not seem to penetrate into Berlin, because otherwise the topic of intensive beds could be approached more sensibly, as you will see in a moment.

Corona shows how dangerous the loss of the culture of controversy is
Many do not go public with their criticism, because they know from the recent past that public swimming against the mainstream is academically associated with disadvantages. Imagine that you are a university head of the institute, integrated into the bureaucracy, and have responsibility for 100 employees. If you expose yourself personally, it will affect not only your reputation, but also the future of your institution, staff and research. That is perfectly understandable.
Personally, I find it much easier, because I act as a private scholar, so to speak. Many university colleagues are therefore currently trying to exert a strong influence on their own professional world to speak out en bloc [collectively] in public. One of the most important lessons from Corona can already be formulated. We must learn again to discuss important social issues in a contentious manner and not to discredit other opinions. Without an open debate, which is the real strength of democracy, we are far too vulnerable to make the wrong decisions, especially in crises.
If we had not known that a viral epidemic called Covid-19 was rolling towards us, or if we had not seen the images from Italy and China, then all the experts I know would have thought the following scenario was highly probable: in February, the first accumulation of severe viral pneumonia in the practices. Some of these are admitted to hospitals, and this might have triggered a short-term overcrowding stress, which would have eased again in April. The doctors would have wondered and tried to find out the cause, which would have succeeded at some point. Mortality would not have exceeded that of a severe flu.
There probably wouldn't have been any headlines, life would have gone on as normal. Many would have been infected [throughout large groups of the public], so a second wave would not be an issue. Next year, Corona-Covid 20 will compete with a new influenza flu. The immunologist Prof. Dr. Stefan Hockertz, who very early on classified the current measures as fundamentally wrong, says: If there is a meaningful medical message to Corona, it is that we must finally take the annual flu more seriously, in which the general hygiene measures, e.g. when visiting grandparents, especially in the winter time are adhered to.

Dealing with the end of life
Without corona panic, there would not have been a dramatic overburdening of intensive care units, because many multimorbid, seriously ill patients who are at the end of their lives would have been treated differently. When life force decreases, if you can no longer live a self-sufficient life, many people do not want to be admitted to hospital at the end of their lives – and this is often pneumonia – and certainly no longer want to experience high-performance medicine. They obviously have little to expect from her. Representing many studies here a recent Chinese study on Covid-19.
Just one sentence: "While invasive ventilation was given to 100 patients with 97 (97%) deaths at 28-day." It is likely that the surviving 3 percent are now care cases if they weren't already. (In addition, the rapid intubation that is common in intensive care units can obviously be problematic for all viral pneumonia sufferers, including the young). Old people don't want to die that way if they were given the choice. That is why there are patient orders. It would be an important part of a later study to what extent these were also taken into account in the context of the Corona crisis.
Most people, aged and needy care, accept the end, but they want to experience it with dignity and as painless as possible. This is called palliative care, and this very beneficial subject has developed very well in recent years. An interview by a palliative care physician, as courageous as it is important, sums up the problem in the current corona crisis.
This means that it could have been done better, instead of emptying hospitals without a plan, instead of postponing other important medical measures for those suffering from other diseases, instead of blocking ventilators for days with patients who do not want to do so. But this way you risk that the injured mother of two young children will no longer have a place. This could have been done better by talking to patients about the situation, by providing sufficient outpatient resources for family doctors and by deliberately integrating palliative care into this situation.

Catastrophic wrong decisions
All this has nothing to do with euthanasia, but with giving old people the opportunity to make self-determined decisions about their own destiny. But this requires the ability to ask the right questions and listen to the appropriate experts. In matters of self-determination at the end of a long life, no virologist, no intensive care physician or RKI official is the right contact person.
There will be a lot of questions to be asked in the future: why all this did not happen and how we can do better in the future. Personally, I believe that the first thing we need to do is to talk about the way in which we have conducted debates in recent years and have excluded critical, highly qualified voices from the public debate. That's what's falling on our feet with Corona Covid-19. Experts such as Dr Wolfgang Wodarg have good arguments, even if they do not necessarily have to be right. But if they had been seriously discussed, rather than publicly executing the reputation of these experts, all these catastrophic mistakes would not have happened.
Here again at the end my personal conclusion: Stop the shutdown immediately, finally protect the risk groups professionally.
If this article seems plausible to you, please spread it.

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Relating to my slightly earlier posts, in which I presented to you a very insightful essay I found on a German outlet today, which makes a strong case for the lockdowns in Germany being fairly unnecessary:

Not all of you will have the patience to read through all of the argument, including quite some numbers and calculations.

The main point of it seems to be that the central factors or events leading to a quick and dangerous spread of the CCP virus are not normal contacts you would have at work or buying stuff or engaging with your family.
Rather it seems that the spread concentrates very much on special occasions which lend themselves very strongly to people infecting one another – and which could basically be understood to be »parties« of all kinds, with lots of people coming close to each other and behaving very emotionally and carelessly.

Such events as being specifically mentioned in the essay are the carnival in Germany (both with parties in big tents and street parades), "Après Ski" parties in the European Alpes, large social gatherings such as party conventions, elections and voting; also everything going on typically in Pubs, Bars, Clubs etc.

The bottom line would be: According to the calculation in the essay, the rate of spread would – with a minimum of precaution taken – be manageable, with one infected person at most infecting one single other person during their own phase of disease, or not even that "much".
Therefore no exponential increase in cases and no overwhelming of the health system.

The only thing really pushing the transfer rate up to dangerous degrees, like each infected person infecting in turn 5 or 10 other persons, would be large and exuberant groups and gatherings.
This would also largely explain why the most affected regions in the US so far are the NY metropolitan area and New Orleans.

  • In NYC, the public officials actually encouraged the public to please not refrain from social gatherings and please participate wholeheartedly in events like the New Year Celebrations in Chinatown when the virus was already going round.
  • In New Orleans, the Mardi Gras would be to blame.

This way of analysis would lead to the insight that

  • what has to be prevented is transmission of the virus by events that are obviously dangerous, like big street parties of all kinds.
  • Some cautionary measures might be taken in places like schools and restaurants.
  • Not so much pain might be necessary when it comes to families and small circles of friends acting responsibly.

In other words:

  • The most draconian measures, as pushed by some governors or mayors, are the most unnecessary ones.
  • While the measures that take the least from everybody's daily life are the most important: Avoiding large crowds, parties, bars and clubs where people engage in close encounters and intimately.

In still other words:
The basic guidelines as defined in the president's authority are exactly the important ones.
And over the next weeks, it would be absolutely responsible to open up daily life and most work places again, with some simple precautionary side-measures.

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Celebrating Easter Monday with a short springtime meditation!

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Now these are some of the beauties in my own garden.
The red tulips are SO red, your screen will not display the true color of them. Even the best available TV screen cannot show this kind of natural hue. So I guess you'll have to take my word for it 😎

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OK, I hear you. "Please, no more white blossoms from Germany. So boring. Enough already!"

Well, I have something completely different for you then. Hope you like it, guys. Here we go: Pink colored blossoms from Germany. Fresh from yesterday's tour on my bike. 🚴🏻‍♂️🌸

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This will drive some Peter guy crazy, but I can't help it.
Just gotta show you guys that it does have advantages to be living in Germany. Admitted: We have a ghastly chancelorette, as you know, while you have such an outstanding president.

BUT I can go to the local beverage dealer and get nice drinking from
– as it says above the crest – the OLDEST BREWERY IN THE WORLD.

Ha.

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I had such a nice round on my bike yesterday.
Luckily, we are not prohibited from going outside in Germany, we are just supposed to not be near more than just 1 person at a time.
So it's not really "shelter in place", rather "stay alone, no groups".

Anyway: Blue Skies smiling at me, lots of white blossoming and fresh green to be seen all around. Was really blissful.

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This one is from sunday, taken in the park where I practically grew up, to some extent. Very near to my family's places. Talk about childhood reminiscence. (70 km away from where I'm living now.)

Hard to not somehow "interpret" the dead tree in terms of human body shape and action – at least that's my feeling.

Hope for all of you that you have similarly comfy weather with lots of sun and nicely warm already!

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Hey guys, I'm obviously fairly lagging with posting nice pictures over the weekend, but here we go:
Yesterday, I took my very old auntie aged 92 for a spring time round by car, and we got to see this nice and very, very old church.
It is in fact about a thousand years old. Yep. 1000.
It is situated in the valley formed by the river "Ruhr" in the south of my original home town "Bochum", being part of the "Ruhr Region".
What are fairly big towns today, has sprung up quite late actually, during industrialization. This region had a lot of coal, which got mined all over the place, attracting steel industry big time. (I guess the closest thing similar in the US might be Pennsylvania?)

Before that, all of this region was fairly unimportant, all agriculture. But as the old church shows, there have been regular villages and some medieval culture going on.

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[part B of #11 in my climate policy series | please look at part A in the last post first!]

This is the fundamental reality of the fight against “global warming” or even “climate change”: There is no chance, on a global scale, to effectively bring down CO2 emissions in a significant way.
Whether or not the US, Canada, Australia, the European nations succeed in reducing their CO2 emissions, even if they would achieve lofty goals like almost completely doing without fossil fuel consumption in twenty or thirty years from now, will not significantly change the projected curve of global emissions and supposed “global warming” caused by them – according to the official modeling under the virtual roof of the UN climate action bodies.
The German political powers engaging wholeheartedly in their activist climate policies keep telling the public and even more so themselves that someone has to go ahead courageously and thereby lead the bunch. Only this imagined effect still has to materialize anywhere in Europe. Nobody follows the german example. The EU as a political body does engage in putting forth fairly challenging goals for the reduction of CO2 emissions, but what they actually achieve is mostly modernizing outdated power plants or other industrial facilities in those member countries that are somewhat behind current states of technology and efficiency.
But no other nation outside Germany is pursuing similar aggressive plans to shift the generation of electrical power to carbon-free “renewables” like wind and solar. No one is following Germany in shutting down and dispensing of nuclear power generation. And it has to be acknowledged in this context that electrical energy constitutes only a minor part of total energy consumption in a modern society.
So just as not even the nations neighboring Germany are putting their energy supply at comparable risks and pushing costs to outrageous extents, there is no chance that nations worldwide might at some point in the future follow the EU as a whole in cutting down on CO2 emissions effectively.
Canada is all virtue-signaling about climate policy, and for some years Australia has been. But these are rather small populations and what they might achieve is practically irrelevant for global trends.
Even if the US were to engage in some illusionary “Green new deal” scheme and even if this would indeed work out to some extent, reducing CO2 emissions somewhat significantly: Still the effect on global developments would be almost negligible.
China will grow its economy aggressively; India will do the same. It is not even a question about which much political leeway could be assumed, because the respective governments would risk serious upheaval and destabilization within their borders, should they try and enforce strict measures to reduce energy consumption. It would be irresponsible anyway for those governments to not increase the well-being, the material living standards for their people. And as has to be recalled: There simply is no way of raising living standards without increasing energy supply.

For a nation to prosper materially, there has to be abundant, reliable and fairly cheap energy, not least in the shape of an extensive electrical power grid.
If fossil fuels are to be avoided, there is one serious alternative: nuclear power. Strangely though, the climate activists are fundamentally opposed to using this alternative. They imagine it would be dangerous, in terms of radioactive material and incidents such as infamous Chernobyl, but this fear is not really based on reliable statistical and technological facts.

To conclude these considerations: The rich western countries would to a large extent ruin themselves by strictly “decarbonizing” their economies and thereby massively endanger the well-being of their people. They would on this way quite probably also shift the manufacturing of goods of all kinds to countries like China, thereby only exporting the energy use and driving it up instead of down. But even letting this important point aside:
There is a fundamental alternative to cutting down on CO2 emissions. Supposed, it does drive “global warming” and also assumed, the latter does pose serious dangers to the people on earth: Those dangers might be effectively mitigated by proper counteraction in the future.
Mankind has had to deal with lots of challenges over the course of history, and has overcome them by ingenuity, science, technological inventions, cultural progress. It is quite probably fairly unconceivable from today which inventions will come up in twenty, forty, sixty years from today, just as we didn’t know back in the last century what life would be in 2020 in terms of technology.
To panic now and commit economical suicide today out of lack of imagination how solutions in the future might work out would be utterly dumb and completely the opposite of reasonable behavior. The emergency and doomsday cult of the climate activists does not prove foresight and preparedness, it rather reveals complete ignorance with regards to what history teaches us about human progress.
Humanity has always prevailed, has always found solutions, has always improved living conditions, and the speed with which this has happened has all the time grown significantly. But this progress can be stifled for some time, and it will be if economic and individual freedoms are cut back, if utopian propaganda and tyranny get the upper hand. This is the real threat to humankind and to humanity: When the proponents of doom get their hands on the levers of power.

Now what do the selected hints in this article tell us about the chance for mankind to actually reduce global CO2 emissions to a significant extent and supposedly rescue the planet from dangerous “global warming”?

  • CO2 concentration in the atmosphere is practically the same worldwide. A continent cannot decrease it just for itself, let alone a nation. If CO2 has to be fought, it has to be done globally.
  • The high living standards, the material wealth of the industrialized western nations is very much dependent on abundant, reliable and cheap energy, as has been supplied by fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas). It would be highly unfair to demand poor countries to stay poor, so most of supposedly necessary cutting down on CO2 emissions would have to be done by the rich countries.
  • To decrease CO2 emissions globally is almost impossible since the large developing countries, among them China and India, will not give up their further economic growth and therefore will even have their emissions rise. What America and Europe can do would only marginally alter global emissions.
  • The rich countries in part only seemingly decrease CO2 emissions by in fact exporting manufacturing capacities to countries like China where specific CO2 emissions per manufactured good are even higher than in the countries where those goods will be consumed. This is to large extents all just self-delusion.
  • The only way to successfully cut down on CO2 emissions caused by the burning of fossil fuels would be to build up nuclear power plant capacities vastly, but this is being fought by the same people who fight against “global warming” in the first place.

I’ll leave it to you, whether you still believe we in the western world should drastically change our lifestyle, risk our material well-being and try “decarbonizing” the economy.

Here’s an informative statistical summary about where CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions are coming from worldwide:
https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/global-greenhouse-gas-emissions-data

Alex Epstein making “the moral case for fossil fuels”, explaining why human well-being worldwide is still utterly dependent on abundant, reliable and cheap energy – choose from rather long and rather short versions, respectively:

[2 videos]

“Skeptical environmentalist” Bjorn Lomborg explaining why there is no climate “emergency” in the first place and why it is very rational to keep a pragmatic stance and work on future mitigation techniques rather than bankrupt western societies in short term – choose from rather long, not that long and rather short versions, respectively:

[4 videos]

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This is another picture from the same place (in the West of Germany) as yesterday, but instead of the former castle this is where the lesser people have been living for a long time. Doesn't it look charming?

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Already dinner time in Germany and still I have not provided you with another nice uplifting view. That's what comes from being busy writing about your president for a german online outlet! TDS is a big thing here, too.
But now: this is the building behind yesterday's blossoms. Has been vastly rebuilt lately, after long-time dilapidation. You don't often have that kind of houses in America, right?

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Paul Joseph Watson once more nailing it precisely.

Included in this video are Nancy "shameless" Pelosi and two public health officials in NYC, all of them – and just some weeks ago! – heavily pressing the public to PLEASE not avoid crowds but to the contrary go on with life and meet people in order to DEFY the supposed misinformation about the Chinese Virus being an actual danger.

One should really think this is made-up-stuff, because it is so utterly nonsensical, but then again it is so typical of the deluded left.

It is important to expose their dishonesty. Please share this and help spread the truth.

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Hey guys,
hope you're not bored already by all those white blossoms from Germany! Cheers 😎

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Today it is not a municipal garden I'm photo-reporting from, but a bunch of wood right next to fields and pastures. While most of the closely huddling trees (not much of social distancing there) are still naked, one at the front is lavishly covered with white blossoms. Nature really has a way of spoiling our eyes with such gestures of generosity, as it seems.

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Hi all you distancers out there.
Watch the short video. It's truly amazing, for two reasons.

1. They document how MSNBC's moronic anchors denounce the president in a way that is really, really mean-spirited.
2. They have Steve Bannon predict what the president would do about further social distancing in the upcoming weeks. And then the president made exactly that decision and told the public yesterday in the rose garden press conference.

The thing is I have seen Steve Bannon make exactly the same case as of sunday, 22nd. A whole week in advance.
Look at that video clip, too: [2nd one down there]
(shortly before 5 minutes into it, if you should be in a hurry.)

Now is this almost scary or what?
I am tempted to presume there is still a connection between the president and Steve Bannon, however that might look like in detail. And this would of course be good for the country, because Steve Bannon is really a brilliant mind.

@DaveRubin, are you possibly prepared to have the guy on?

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Fear not | Praise the Lord

The British have shown a penchant for choral / sacred music for centuries, and they keep adding to the repertoire.
An eminent living contributor is John Rutter, composer of the "Gloria" and the "Magnificat" on this album I wish to recommend.

This music is cheerful, reassuring, serene, exciting, comforting … I could go on and on with attributes like this.
It is all squarely in the realm of conventional music setting yet including modern turns – timeless music in the best sense.

Listening to these beautiful, almost heavenly voices should do a good job of uplifting your spirits. And you don't have to be a christian believer for this to work.

This is not preaching to the choir, it is preaching by listening to one.

https://johnrutter.com
https://music.apple.com/us/album/rutter-magnificat-gloria/691890489

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How is Germany dealing with the China-Virus?

Not easy to tell, because our MSM are busy adulating chancellor Merkel and her supposedly "calm and relatable" management.
Only there has not been any kind of management at all, for weeks and more weeks. Close down borders as the bloody populist Trump did in the US? Never, not with us brave Europeans.
But then, after the outbreak into large numbers could not any longer be ignored and country after country did close borders, Germany had to follow and isolate itself to some extent.
Up to that point not only borders had stayed open, there also were practically no cautionary measures with regards to people coming to Germany from hotspot regions all over the world. As if the problem would go away if not paid attention.

The call to close borders and safeguard the population (the german word for "people", "Volk" as the greek "demos", must not be used according to left/green Zeitgeist, because supposedly being nationalist, or quasi fascist) – it came from the populist and conservative factions quite early, because it was plain to see what happened all around the world.
But as said above, only a week ago the federal and state governments at last agreed upon more or less strict measures, namely a "contact prohibition order" meaning people should stay at home if possible and must not meet in public and build groups of more than 2 persons at a time.

Crisis management german style:
Long time nothing and then suddenly almost all in

These measures, as has been emphasized today, are supposed to last for three more weeks.
So at first there have been those weeks and weeks of doing practically nothing and reassuring the public "no need to worry too much". And then, in order to not have things running completely wild, this rather serious lockdown. Not quite as severe as in California, but much more strict than president Trumps guidelines for the famous 15 days of slowing the spread.

The number of confirmed cases is currently half of those in the US, which would be somewhat disproportionately large. The number of related deaths on the other hand would be on a similar level, percentage-wise. It might though absolutely be the case that testing capacities in America are by now far ahead those in Germany and that this distorts the statistics significantly, in favor of Germany.

Hospitals so far seem to be doing fairly OK and some very sick patients from Italy and France are being accommodated, apparently. On the other hand there are signs that the shortage of important supplies is reaching critical levels, just as in other countries.

I would presume that in fact there is no competent management of the crisis on the federal level, beyond some superficial maneuvering and PR stuff including the chancellor in person buying stuff in her local grocery store (super market).
Open criticism though can not be expected from our MSM, as stated before.

  • They are buying and spreading what the government wants people to believe and
  • they are even buying the propaganda by communist China, as if they were the ones to save the world and become the new leading nation on the planet, instead of the US.
  • The usual Trump bashing goes on as usual, which goes without saying.

Our "elites" are just as naive and globalist and clueless as yours in America. The difference being that same "elites" are governing this country, while America is being led by a non-elitist administration that actually deals with the crisis hands-on and in a very transparent manner.
Which is something german conservatives can still only dream of.

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part 10 (out of 11 – almost done!) of my unfolding analysis:
Why the climate crisis narrative must collapse soon / the C4-Cascade

Will mankind indeed mostly suffer from the effects of “global warming” – and to an unbearable extent, too?

(Hint: Sources and links at the end of the article!)

Number 8 of the 9 cascading central concepts of climate crisis is:
Mankind must reduce its CO2 emissions at all costs in order to avert at least the most grave repercussions of our meddling with the planetary biosphere, because otherwise we are basically doomed.

Supposed there is indeed significant global warming going on and mankind is responsible for it – and only if these two assumptions are correct it would be reasonable to argue about how much counteraction is needed in the first place: then the following central questions have to be answered:
a) What kinds of effects are to be expected at all?
b) How intense will they be?
c) Are they good or bad for the planet and mankind?
The central effect to be possibly dealt with is of course “global warming” in itself. But then there might (are supposed to) be a bunch of secondary effects, being caused by this warming:

  • Arctic ice shields may start melting, which would over time have sea levels rise all over the world, thereby endangering flat islands and coastal regions with flooding.
  • Weather patterns will change, not just in terms of temperature. Precipitation may become more intense in one place and diminish in another. Extreme weather events may or may not happen more often or become more devastating.
  • Consequently, changes for land-use may be induced, e.g. rendering farming impossible in some areas.
  • Due to changed environmental characteristics, plants or animals may be forced out of their current habitats and have to look for new ones.

The record of predictions about the consequences of global warming, as put out by the “experts” and activists for three or more decades, is not a convincing one, to say the least. Devastating catastrophes all around the world, including the flooding of Manhattan or the widespread diminishing of ice masses at the poles of the earth, are long overdue – according to predictions by prominent leaders of the movement.
Just as there is no hard evidence for extreme weather events to have become more frequent or more devastating, rather to the contrary. So far, to the extent that global temperatures have actually increased since the 1970s, the dire prophecies and fears spread by the alarmist faction have not materialized. (Despite all kinds of climate related phenomena in hindsight being linked to “global warming”, of course.)
It is not in question on the other hand that a rise of mean temperatures would lead to changed living conditions. We know for sure that during very warm periods that have happened before – and apparently without mankind being responsible for it – at the end of the middle ages and around the heydays of the roman empire, farming in Europe could yield higher amounts or that wine could be cultivated even on the british isle.
Just as a lot of vegetation rests in the cool winter times and waits for warmer seasons, with warmer winters leading to earlier starts of springtime, it is perfectly possible for higher mean temperatures around the globe to produce significant shifts in terms of which kind of farming is feasible in which regions in the future. There is no fundamental reason to doubt this effect.
These kinds of changes might very well be the central outcome of “global warming”, as far as that will actually occur. But how intense might these changes be? The global anti-climate-change elites have agreed at first that mankind should prevent temperatures from rising more than two degrees over the course of the century (in comparison to pre-industrialization levels, not just in comparison to today’s status quo); then the most activist factions have urged to restrict the rise to 1 and a half degree. This is the official goal laid down in the infamous Paris climate agreement.
This gives at least some guidance as to what amounts of temperature change might have to be dealt with. It does not seem likely that a place like central Europe will soon feel like the North of Africa or that farmlands in the US Midwest might dry up into arid steppes.
As of now it looks like normal fluctuations of farming conditions, in terms of temperatures and precipitation, that have occurred all the time from one season to another, from year to year, are still far more significant than changes that might be caused by rises of mean temperatures over decennia by half a degree or a full degree.
Also, farmers are able to adjust to changing environmental conditions. Instead of discussing this field of expertise in detail, it might suffice to hint at the fact that new forms of farming in Israel have led to extraordinary success in using dry and hot areas of land for farming that really did not lend themselves to this use easily. Mankind has developed ways, tools and techniques in the field of agriculture that have made possible what earlier generations would have considered mere fantasy.
So even if rising mean temperatures might make it a necessity to change patterns or techniques of land use, there is no reason to expect fundamental challenges for the feeding of mankind in the future.
But even beside this point that there is reason for optimism in terms of mankind handling such challenges: Whereas some regions may present a bigger challenge to farming than before, others will improve. Imagine southern parts of the US becoming indeed too warm or to dry for some crops. At the same time regions more to the North, where it is normally quite cold and not very accommodating for regular farming, might improve in this regard.
(Mind you though that as of now, such changes have apparently not occurred! This is just prophylactic consideration of basic concepts.)

But do let’s go back to mankind itself. And let’s go further north, to Canada. Their government and lots of political forces are heavily in favor of fighting climate change. Yet this seems fairly counterfactual, because Canada is the land on earth with the lowest temperatures of them all, more or less on a par with Russia.
Canada is a really very cold place. It is not just incidental that most of the people are living in close vicinity to the border with the US, as far to the south as possible. For Canada it would have to be considered a real blessing to get the mean temperatures a bit higher, making summer a bit longer and winter a slight bit less excruciating.
So as should be obvious by now, possible effects of global warming don’t have to be on the bad side completely, they might in many regions make living more comfortable and farming more productive. Which would not only be true for Canada, but for northern states in America just the same, like Minnesota or Montana or New York.

But now to the main counter argument against the fear mongering climate activists. While there is no convincing evidence so far that any of the supposed big dangers of “global warming” are actually happening, there is a lot of evidence for positive changes.
They are not hinging on rising temperatures though, rather on the supposed cause for climate change itself, namely rising CO2 levels in the atmosphere. And it has to be acknowledged that while the amount of actual temperature rise is still heavily discussed and reasonable doubt exists, there is no doubt or argument about the fact that CO2 levels have indeed climbed from not even 300 ppm (equivalent to 0,03%) before industrialization to over 400 ppm currently. So the levels have grown round about 50% from where they have been – and this has in fact led to some astounding effects in nature.
The earth is much greener now than it has been half a century ago. As can be surveilled by satellites from their orbit, the masses of plants or rather their leaves have grown significantly in many regions around the planet, while only in rather few places plant growth has been diminished. There are two simple and by now well-known reasons for this: Plants need CO2 as their “food”. As has been described before, they take CO2 and water and build their own biological matter from these ingredients. That’s why in commercial green houses, CO2 levels in the air have been doubled or even tripled by farmers since long times.
In fact, atmospheric CO2 levels have never been so low in the history of the planet as they are nowadays – meaning not just millennia, but hundreds of millions of years as a time scale. Plants are practically suffocated when CO2 levels fall significantly below 200 ppm. On the other hand, those living creatures have been developed by evolution during times at which CO2 levels were in the thousands.
So it is no surprise that increased CO2 levels are boosting plant growth all over the planet. The second reason is that plants, when well served by more CO2 in the air, don’t have to open their surface up that much in order to take CO2 in; therefore they lose far less water by evaporation. This means that in higher CO2 environments, the plants can handle aridity far better, so they can survive and even flourish in dry regions that would otherwise be too much of a challenge.
Better plant growth does not pertain only to authentic “nature itself”, it supports farming as well and leads to far better yields for practically all of the important crops, be it rice or soy or wheat. This is a big plus when mankind is still growing its own numbers by hundreds of millions and all the people have to be fed properly.
And then, in addition to all of this, more plant mass means of course that more carbon is being incorporated into them, thereby helping mitigate the further rise of CO2 levels, which has to be good thing from the vantage point of “global warming” fighters.
Turns out, as far as higher CO2 levels have indeed been caused by mankind, they induce effects that should be very much welcomed. It may very well be said that we are helping nature to keep healthy, and not just a little bit.

One more thing: Not only have CO2 levels never been so low during the history of life on this planet. Also, it has never been so cold, speaking again on the scale of hundreds of thousands and millions of years. Mankind vastly profits, and can even exist more or less nicely, only because right now, we are in an “inter-glacial” period. What the funny animation movie series “ice age” is depicting is in fact the normal state of living conditions for almost all of the time in this latest phase of the planet’s overall development, and it is in fact a grueling one. Only for relatively short periods of time the earth comes out of long lasting ice ages – during which large parts of our continents are being covered by miles-high ice shields – and makes living conditions on the planet fairly convenient.
So if mankind is to look really far into the future, deliberating about living conditions in thousands of years, a little warming might actually be a very welcome thing. Future generations might be hoping in vain for some “global warming” induced by mankind and be sad about the fact that a coming new ice age can in reality not be mitigated by putting out some more CO2.

Now what do the selected hints in this article tell us about the intensity and characteristics of possible effects of supposed “global warming”?

  • Practically all of dire predictions about the big dangers and threats to humanity caused by „global warming“, as pronounced by the „experts“ during bygone decades, have so far proven unsubstantiated or vastly overblown, including extreme weather events and sea level rises. There is no clear evidence that things might get much worse in the foreseeable future.
  • Mankind is capable of improving e.g. techniques for agriculture and thereby effectively mitigating conceivable challenges in terms of weather conditions.
  • Living conditions for mankind in lots of regions and conditions for cultivating farmland might ameliorate rather than deteriorate, once mean temperatures actually rise a bit. At least there is reason to hope that even if some regions would indeed become less hospitable, other regions would become more accommodating at the same time.
  • People on huge land masses in the northern hemisphere would probably profit from warming temperatures, because until now they are suffering from inhospitable cool climate conditions.
  • Whereas temperature rise is still hardly measurable and quite minuscule, CO2 levels in the atmosphere have indeed grown by almost a half. This leads to very significantly improved living conditions for plants and thereby a recognizable “greening” of a lot of areas around the world (and in fact near the surfaces of the oceans, too, by the way).
  • The growing mass of plant matter helps slow future CO2 level rise and helps cultivating regions that have been too dry before; but first of all rising yields for all kinds of crops help feed a still growing world population.

I’ll leave it to you, whether you still believe “global warming” will lead to harmful consequences (and exclusively so) that have to be avoided by almost all means and regardless of costs.

A lot of the topics covered in this chapter are dealt with – in a wider context – by former Greenpeace co-founder Dr Patrick Moore, in a long form interview with Canadian journalist Rex Murphy and in a public lecture, supplemented by a longer study:
[1st video]
https://www.thegwpf.org/patrick-moore-should-we-celebrate-carbon-dioxide/
https://friendsofscience.org/assets/documents/Moore-Pat-CO2-Emissions-March2015.pdf

For a lot of videos about how doomsday predictions by climate alarmists have proven utterly wrong visit the YT channel of Tony Heller, e.g.:
[2nd video]
[3rd video]

More details about higher CO2 levels positively affecting plant growth:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09/12/study-plants-are-globally-getting-more-efficient-thanks-to-rising-carbon-dioxide/

More about the greening of the earth on this highly official website:
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth

If you insist, you may research the official UN site about the Paris agreement, agreed upon by President Obama and rejected by President Trump:
https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/the-paris-agreement

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Here's another one from my little "colorful garden" excursion yesterday – a lush white dream and a blanket of daffodils.

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Is one obliged to explicitly deny being a pedophile when posting such a picture these days?

edit: (btw I'm really not. But how ridiculous is it that I have to state this?)

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Hey friends, the park in the neighboring town where I took this picture this afternoon is aptly named "colorful garden". Doesn't promise too much, this name, I dare say.

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We are all aware of the nightmare Italy is currently going through. Some may have seen pictures of devastated towns and empty streets.

So I guess it would be a good thing to remind everybody how beautiful and lively a place Italy normally is, with tons of history, idyllic landscapes, culture, arts, tourist attractions all over the place…

This is one of many such reports by Rick Steves. He is an enjoyable guide and companion when it comes to discovering Europe in all its true diversity. Always informative, engaging, fun-loving … but just go see yourself!
It will warm your heart and make you want to fly over there – if not this year, then surely the next one.

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Suggestion for the next movie event:
"Being here" with Peter Sellers and Shirley MacLaine
It's smart, funny, heart-warming and shows in a nice way that what people perceive is to a huge extent dependent on their mind-set.
Speaking in more scientific terms: cognitive dissonance amplifies notions we already have and filters out everything seeming incompatible.

Does that sound familiar, in terms of nowadays politics?
But really, the film is just beautiful, somewhat quiet and comforting. But not boring, to the contrary!

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What a mess was that?
Is CA morphing into a complete sh$thole country, also in terms of technical infrastructure?

@DaveRubin, I watched your live stream after the fact, and it was excruciating.
Even on a mini display like on an old smartphone it would have been just smeared pixels. Had I not known better, it could just as well have been Joe Biden, picture-wise.

Well, not quite that extreme, OK. But really.
Might this have been the YT gods weighing in? Possibly?

🐕 Nevertheless it was really heart-warming how your new family member was so agitated and excited and all over the place. The guy has still to figure out that by some magic or God's good will he has been granted a new existence in Dog's heaven on earth with you guys. 🦴

Even more amazing to hear about your plans to multiply. Not sure if this is exactly the way the bible imagined 😎, but that makes it even more exciting.
Gosh, you have determination. Wishing you guys best luck for these plans, too. 👶🚼🍼