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This is a really great article about the math of the COVID-19 model in layman's terms. This is what I've been looking for, along with model theories and formulas. Also why I can't find a spreadsheet of this (Chris Murray) model.
The Mathematics of Predicting the Course of the CoronavirusEpidemiologists are using complex models to help policymakers get ahead of the Covid-19 pandemic. But the leap from equations to decisions is a long one....
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