Let's tally up the score as it stands now.
The conversations are still available here so if you'd like, you can go back and check the details.
One, (I count this one a semi-fail) I predicted early in the Wuhan mess that in final analysis, the scare would not be bigger than the normal influenza. I questioned the experts and their ability to share reality with us. Turns out, the numbers I was relying on for influenza weren't actually numbers that were counted, but numbers estimated by models we learned were terribly flawed. These were the same kind of models used to tell us how many of us were going to get Wuhaned to death. Same models used to predict temperature one hundred years from now. I counted deaths as reported by Johns Hopkins from their daily reporting. I found the numbers were not accurate. I believed the reporting agencies were politically motivated in their reporting. I believe the Wuhan is a killer, unless you are gathering in mass for what ...